WEEK 1 PREVIEW: #KPI PROJECTED VALUES

The college football season is underway!  For television information on games, reference mattsarzsports.com at http://mattsarzsports.com/Schedule/Weekly?week=1&sportYear=football2013.

The following is data as to what the value of each team’s winning or losing Week 1 would have based on 2012 regular season data.  Remember, these are based on last year’s numbers (which are irrelevant for this year), but gives perspective as to what the value of a win or loss could mean, or would mean should this week’s game been played as a hypothetical 13th game last season.

Eat your heart out!  Enjoy the start of college football!

For teams should they win this weekend:

WINNING TEAM KPI if win Opponent
1 Temple .85 Notre Dame
2 Toledo .82 Florida
3 Buffalo .79 Ohio State
4 Samford .78 Georgia State
5 Nicholls State .77 Oregon
6 North Dakota State .73 Kansas State
7 Rice .69 Texas A&M
8 North Carolina .69 South Carolina
9 Sacramento State .67 San Jose State
10 Louisiana-Monroe .66 Oklahoma
11 Virginia Tech .65 Alabama
12 Georgia .63 Clemson
13 Liberty .61 Kent State
14 Wyoming .59 Nebraska
15 Ohio .56 Louisville
16 Eastern Washington .56 Oregon State
17 Rutgers .55 Fresno State
18 Clemson .54 Georgia
19 Purdue .54 Cincinnati
20 TCU .53 LSU
21 Pittsburgh .53 Florida State
22 Arkansas-Pine Bluff .52 Arkansas State
23 Iowa .51 Northern Illinois
24 Illinois State .51 Ball State
25 Nevada .48 UCLA
26 Eastern Illinois .47 San Diego State
27 Central Michigan .47 Michigan
28 Washington .46 Boise State
29 Mississippi .43 Vanderbilt
30 Fresno State .42 Rutgers
31 Utah .42 Utah State
32 Tulsa .41 Bowling Green
33 New Mexico State .40 Texas
34 Florida .38 Toledo
35 Syracuse .38 Penn State
36 Akron .38 Central Florida
37 Bowling Green .38 Tulsa
38 California .37 Northwestern
39 Massachusetts .36 Wisconsin
40 Boise State .35 Washington
41 North Carolina State .34 Louisiana Tech
42 Northern Arizona .33 Arizona
43 Wofford .32 Baylor
44 South Carolina .31 North Carolina
45 Oklahoma State .31 Mississippi State
46 Mississippi State .30 Oklahoma State
47 Western Carolina .30 Middle Tennessee
48 Florida Atlantic .30 Miami (FL)
49 Old Dominion .29 East Carolina
50 Florida State .29 Pittsburgh
51 Western Michigan .28 Michigan State
52 William & Mary .28 West Virginia
53 Oklahoma .27 Louisiana-Monroe
54 Hawaii .26 USC
55 LSU .26 TCU
56 Louisiana Tech .26 North Carolina State
57 Arkansas .25 Louisiana-Lafayette
58 SMU .24 Texas Tech
59 Northern Iowa .24 Iowa State
60 Penn State .23 Syracuse
61 Virginia .23 BYU
62 North Carolina   Central .23 Duke
63 Elon .22 Georgia Tech
64 Louisville .22 Ohio
65 Murray State .22 Missouri
66 Texas Tech .21 SMU
67 UNLV .20 Minnesota
68 Alabama .20 Virginia Tech
69 UCLA .19 Nevada
70 Utah State .19 Utah
71 Austin Peay .19 Tennessee
72 Kentucky .19 Western Kentucky
73 Colgate .19 Air Force
74 Vanderbilt .18 Mississippi
75 Louisiana-Lafayette .16 Arkansas
76 New Mexico .16 Texas-San Antonio
77 Cincinnati .15 Purdue
78 Miami (OH) .14 Marshall
79 Towson .14 Connecticut
80 Northern Illinois .13 Iowa
81 Texas A&M .13 Rice
82 Presbyterian .13 Wake Forest
83 Southern U. .13 Houston
84 UAB .12 Troy
85 Michigan .11 Central Michigan
86 Indiana State .11 Indiana
87 BYU .10 Virginia
88 Northwestern .09 California
89 Florida International .09 Maryland
90 Idaho .09 North Texas
91 Notre Dame .08 Temple
92 McNeese State .08 South Florida
93 Washington State .08 Auburn
94 Marshall .07 Miami (OH)
95 Ohio State .07 Buffalo
96 Nebraska .07 Wyoming
97 Texas-San Antonio .06 New Mexico
98 Michigan State .06 Western Michigan
99 Southern Miss .06 Texas State
100 USC .04 Hawaii
101 Colorado .04 Colorado State
102 Miami (FL) .04 Florida Atlantic
103 Villanova .03 Boston College
104 Maryland .03 Florida International
105 Western Kentucky .03 Kentucky
106 Howard .03 Eastern Michigan
107 Auburn .03 Washington State
108 Southern Illinois .03 Illinois
109 Morgan State .02 Army
110 Troy .02 UAB
111 Southern Utah .02 South Alabama
112 Arkansas State .01 Arkansas-Pine Bluff
113 Tennessee .01 Austin Peay
114 Air Force .01 Colgate
115 San Diego State .01 Eastern Illinois
116 Oregon State .01 Eastern Washington
117 Georgia Tech .01 Elon
118 Eastern Michigan .01 Howard
119 Ball State .01 Illinois State
120 Indiana .01 Indiana State
121 Tulane .01 Jackson State
122 Kent State .01 Liberty
123 South Florida .01 McNeese State
124 Army .01 Morgan State
125 Missouri .01 Murray State
126 Oregon .01 Nicholls State
127 Duke .01 North Carolina   Central
128 Kansas State .01 North Dakota State
129 Arizona .01 Northern Arizona
130 Iowa State .01 Northern Iowa
131 East Carolina .01 Old Dominion
132 Wake Forest .01 Presbyterian
133 San Jose State .01 Sacramento State
134 Georgia State .01 Samford
135 Illinois .01 Southern Illinois
136 Houston .01 Southern U.
137 South Alabama .01 Southern Utah
138 Connecticut .01 Towson
139 Boston College .01 Villanova
140 Middle Tennessee .01 Western Carolina
141 West Virginia .01 William & Mary
142 Baylor .01 Wofford
143 Minnesota .01 UNLV
144 Jackson State .01 Tulane
145 Central Florida .01 Akron
146 Colorado State .00 Colorado
147 North Texas .00 Idaho
148 Texas State .00 Southern Miss
149 Wisconsin .00 Massachusetts
150 Texas .00 New Mexico State

For teams should they lose this weekend:

LOSING TEAM KPI if loss Opponent
1 Wisconsin (.79) Massachusetts
2 Colorado State (.78) Colorado
3 Texas (.77) New Mexico State
4 North Texas (.71) Idaho
5 Central Florida (.70) Akron
6 Minnesota (.66) UNLV
7 Texas State (.65) Southern Miss
8 Western Kentucky (.62) Kentucky
9 Troy (.61) UAB
10 Air Force (.59) Colgate
11 Arizona (.59) Northern Arizona
12 Arkansas State (.59) Arkansas-Pine Bluff
13 Army (.59) Morgan State
14 Ball State (.59) Illinois State
15 Baylor (.59) Wofford
16 Boston College (.59) Villanova
17 Connecticut (.59) Towson
18 Duke (.59) North Carolina   Central
19 East Carolina (.59) Old Dominion
20 Eastern Michigan (.59) Howard
21 Georgia State (.59) Samford
22 Georgia Tech (.59) Elon
23 Houston (.59) Southern U.
24 Illinois (.59) Southern Illinois
25 Indiana (.59) Indiana State
26 Iowa State (.59) Northern Iowa
27 Kansas State (.59) North Dakota State
28 Kent State (.59) Liberty
29 Middle Tennessee (.59) Western Carolina
30 Missouri (.59) Murray State
31 Oregon (.59) Nicholls State
32 Oregon State (.59) Eastern Washington
33 San Diego State (.59) Eastern Illinois
34 San Jose State (.59) Sacramento State
35 South Alabama (.59) Southern Utah
36 South Florida (.59) McNeese State
37 Tennessee (.59) Austin Peay
38 Tulane (.59) Jackson State
39 Wake Forest (.59) Presbyterian
40 West Virginia (.59) William & Mary
41 Auburn (.58) Washington State
42 Colorado (.57) Colorado State
43 Southern Utah (.55) South Alabama
44 Jackson State (.55) Tulane
45 Maryland (.54) Florida International
46 Miami (FL) (.51) Florida Atlantic
47 Morgan State (.51) Army
48 Howard (.49) Eastern Michigan
49 Southern Illinois (.49) Illinois
50 Villanova (.47) Boston College
51 USC (.46) Hawaii
52 Michigan State (.45) Western Michigan
53 Nebraska (.43) Wyoming
54 Southern Miss (.42) Texas State
55 Washington State (.41) Auburn
56 Marshall (.41) Miami (OH)
57 Texas-San Antonio (.41) New Mexico
58 Ohio State (.39) Buffalo
59 Notre Dame (.39) Temple
60 McNeese State (.38) South Florida
61 Northwestern (.35) California
62 Idaho (.35) North Texas
63 Florida International (.34) Maryland
64 BYU (.32) Virginia
65 Indiana State (.32) Indiana
66 UAB (.31) Troy
67 Texas A&M (.31) Rice
68 Michigan (.31) Central Michigan
69 Southern U. (.31) Houston
70 Northern Illinois (.30) Iowa
71 Cincinnati (.29) Purdue
72 Towson (.29) Connecticut
73 Miami (OH) (.28) Marshall
74 Louisiana-Lafayette (.28) Arkansas
75 Alabama (.26) Virginia Tech
76 Presbyterian (.26) Wake Forest
77 Kentucky (.25) Western Kentucky
78 Utah State (.25) Utah
79 Austin Peay (.24) Tennessee
80 UNLV (.23) Minnesota
81 Colgate (.23) Air Force
82 UCLA (.23) Nevada
83 Vanderbilt (.22) Mississippi
84 Texas Tech (.21) SMU
85 Murray State (.21) Missouri
86 Elon (.21) Georgia Tech
87 North Carolina   Central (.19) Duke
88 Penn State (.19) Syracuse
89 New Mexico (.19) Texas-San Antonio
90 Northern Iowa (.18) Iowa State
91 SMU (.17) Texas Tech
92 Louisiana Tech (.16) North Carolina State
93 Oklahoma (.16) Louisiana-Monroe
94 Louisville (.16) Ohio
95 LSU (.15) TCU
96 Hawaii (.15) USC
97 Florida State (.15) Pittsburgh
98 Mississippi State (.15) Oklahoma State
99 Arkansas (.15) Louisiana-Lafayette
100 William & Mary (.14) West Virginia
101 Virginia (.14) BYU
102 Old Dominion (.14) East Carolina
103 Western Carolina (.14) Middle Tennessee
104 Western Michigan (.13) Michigan State
105 Florida Atlantic (.13) Miami (FL)
106 Oklahoma State (.12) Mississippi State
107 Northern Arizona (.11) Arizona
108 South Carolina (.11) North Carolina
109 Wofford (.10) Baylor
110 Boise State (.10) Washington
111 Tulsa (.10) Bowling Green
112 Massachusetts (.09) Wisconsin
113 Akron (.09) Central Florida
114 Syracuse (.08) Penn State
115 California (.08) Northwestern
116 Bowling Green (.07) Tulsa
117 North Carolina State (.07) Louisiana Tech
118 New Mexico State (.07) Texas
119 Mississippi (.07) Vanderbilt
120 Florida (.06) Toledo
121 Eastern Illinois (.06) San Diego State
122 Fresno State (.06) Rutgers
123 Nevada (.05) UCLA
124 Purdue (.05) Cincinnati
125 Central Michigan (.05) Michigan
126 Illinois State (.05) Ball State
127 Washington (.05) Boise State
128 Arkansas-Pine Bluff (.04) Arkansas State
129 Utah (.04) Utah State
130 Ohio (.03) Louisville
131 Rutgers (.03) Fresno State
132 Eastern Washington (.03) Oregon State
133 TCU (.03) LSU
134 Pittsburgh (.02) Florida State
135 Liberty (.02) Kent State
136 Wyoming (.02) Nebraska
137 Iowa (.02) Northern Illinois
138 Samford (.02) Georgia State
139 Sacramento State (.02) San Jose State
140 Georgia (.01) Clemson
141 Louisiana-Monroe (.01) Oklahoma
142 Clemson (.01) Georgia
143 Rice (.01) Texas A&M
144 North Carolina (.01) South Carolina
145 North Dakota State (.01) Kansas State
146 Nicholls State (.00) Oregon
147 Buffalo (.00) Ohio State
148 Virginia Tech (.00) Alabama
149 Toledo (.00) Florida
150 Temple (.00) Notre Dame

This is the #KPI.

Posted in Uncategorized.